Thursday, 17 February 2011

Thailand, 20th Feb, Red Shirts and Cranes

Red shirts to flood Rajprasong with 1 million red paper cranes


The red-shirt movement will flood the Rajprasong Intersection with 1 million red origami cranes on Saturday.
Nathee Sorawaree, a red-shirt leader, said red-shirt people would gather at the Pathum Wanaram Temple from 10 am to 9 pm to commemorate the deaths of red-shirt protesters.
At 5 pm, the protesters would gather at the Rajprasong Intersection and "release" 1 million red paper cranes.

Returning from China

I've been in Chengdu in the Great South West of China where the rain and mists pour down from the high plateau of Tibet province. The great rivers flow through the great basin towards the sea still so far away. China is doing well in terms of massive investment in infrastructure with roads and rail and urban development the really big areas of ongoing rapid improvement pretty well everywhere.
Whilst China is intending to keep the redevelopment push West going for twenty years, by the rate and the scale of improvements, I'd think a significant amount of redistribution of Wealth to the newly-centralising Western rural pod-growth areas will probably take only ten years.
There remains adherence to the pattern of 'the sun rising in the east and spreading west through the day'...such is the simple plan for the development of the country.
This New China is a very big and quite energised system moving at an unprecedented speed to develop yet each step is calculated well by many analysts within the core-system, always questioning themselves and running specific political experiments in a range of representational forms, although certainly not Western democratic forms, except some experiments lifted from Northen Europe for social modelling. I think China studies itself and others more so than any other country does.
China will not become a democracy. One of the main reasons is that what they are doing is working so very well for people in great numbers... numbers unheard of in history.
By sticking to a centralist socialist government of Chinese design at the core of a state capitalist redistribution, incorporating Confucian principles, more human beings have been delivered from rank poverty and at a faster rate than any system or empire or religion or philosophy in human history. 200 million in 20 years, and more each day into the future. China is on track and is also linking itself very structurally to all its 16 neighbour countries where one country, for example Vietnam is formally linked trade-wise and rapi-transport-wise with a city such as Shanghai. The economy of Shanghai City is much larger than the economy of Vietnam. If you look at the border countries, all of them are now linked with shiny new infrastructure to particular growth centres in China. The interdependency of all Asia thus becomes the best reason to never have wars whereas the American economy needs wars as the main driver for continuation of its wealth having neglected infrastructural investments for many decades, by it's own free choice.
No one in history has ever seen socio-economic progress running at this speed on on this scale.
I wish China well. It's an amazing thing to be living at a time of such profound and radical world change.

Sunday, 6 February 2011

韩国是重要的。

Whilst media remains concerned about past and present in the Middle East; Egypt, Tunisia, the plight of Palestinians and Israelis; the only real 'Avatar-Sprite', or change-agent, in the world...the only thing that can rock this world is... Korea. 韩国是重要的。

Egypt: 不重要. Korea Matters

Egypt...12 day rebellion in the CBD. Big deal. Bangkok 2010: 4 month rebellion in the CBD, taking over Parliament House. The nation stopped, the economy destroyed etc etc...The result? Business as usual. It's all good stuff for the media crying out for this and that but... mai pen rai... mai guan si...
不重要 it doesn't matter. The Middle East doesn't matter. Thailand doesn't matter. Korea matters.

Thailand Cambodia Border battle

This battle at the border temple-hot spot seems to have sprung from the conviction of 2 Yellow Shirt Thais as spies in Cambodia.
Cambodia's Hun Sen, allied with Thaksin's Thai Red Shirts versus Thailand's PM Abhisit aligned with the Yellow Shirt powerhouse of Bangkok City.
What is this about/ I think it is about who has power in the radical development of Chiang Mai as a profound new wealth link in Thailand's North.
Abhisit and the Bangkok Yellow Shirts and Old Capitalism, versus Shinawatra and Hun Sen and Cambodian state sponsored expansionist new capitalism. Capitalism versus Capitalism. How appallingly predictable.
The fact that both sides demand the possession of an ancient buddhist temple just adds to the total silliness of the dispute...but more so it is a poignant indicator of how many good lives can be lost between two men wanting more money.

Saturday, 5 February 2011

The Achievement of Indonesia

Indonesia remains, for me, the most dynamic force in SE Asia...350 million people, mostly muslim, with the government sponsoring more and more conversion and more and more muslims into powerful positions in government: the outcome....a much more moderate, democratic, and a far more secular state. Remarkable intelligence at work. The other democratic SE Asian states like Singapore, Malaysia and Thailand remain basically single family businesses more than actual nations, and far more intrinsically repressive in terms of class structures.




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