Thursday 17 February 2011

Returning from China

I've been in Chengdu in the Great South West of China where the rain and mists pour down from the high plateau of Tibet province. The great rivers flow through the great basin towards the sea still so far away. China is doing well in terms of massive investment in infrastructure with roads and rail and urban development the really big areas of ongoing rapid improvement pretty well everywhere.
Whilst China is intending to keep the redevelopment push West going for twenty years, by the rate and the scale of improvements, I'd think a significant amount of redistribution of Wealth to the newly-centralising Western rural pod-growth areas will probably take only ten years.
There remains adherence to the pattern of 'the sun rising in the east and spreading west through the day'...such is the simple plan for the development of the country.
This New China is a very big and quite energised system moving at an unprecedented speed to develop yet each step is calculated well by many analysts within the core-system, always questioning themselves and running specific political experiments in a range of representational forms, although certainly not Western democratic forms, except some experiments lifted from Northen Europe for social modelling. I think China studies itself and others more so than any other country does.
China will not become a democracy. One of the main reasons is that what they are doing is working so very well for people in great numbers... numbers unheard of in history.
By sticking to a centralist socialist government of Chinese design at the core of a state capitalist redistribution, incorporating Confucian principles, more human beings have been delivered from rank poverty and at a faster rate than any system or empire or religion or philosophy in human history. 200 million in 20 years, and more each day into the future. China is on track and is also linking itself very structurally to all its 16 neighbour countries where one country, for example Vietnam is formally linked trade-wise and rapi-transport-wise with a city such as Shanghai. The economy of Shanghai City is much larger than the economy of Vietnam. If you look at the border countries, all of them are now linked with shiny new infrastructure to particular growth centres in China. The interdependency of all Asia thus becomes the best reason to never have wars whereas the American economy needs wars as the main driver for continuation of its wealth having neglected infrastructural investments for many decades, by it's own free choice.
No one in history has ever seen socio-economic progress running at this speed on on this scale.
I wish China well. It's an amazing thing to be living at a time of such profound and radical world change.

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