Monday, 10 January 2011

What Does China Think?

I will have to dig out the PLA list on China Threats and Counter-Balances. There's a whole list of well-researched methodologies in dealing with American aggression in particular. One is called, humorously, 'Lawfare' where International Law is used as a real weapon. Another is Real Power where military might is circumvented by popular opinion..and this is what happens when the US continually invades foreign countries for very bizarre reasons...this kind of enterprise actually weakens US power in the World Popular Mind (which is very important) without the Chinese having to do anything except watch...and lend them money, which also weakens US power. There's also Trade Warfare, Drug Warfare, Terror Warfare etc.


Its a fascinating list. You can find it in Mark Leonard's great little think-tank book What Does China Think? Well balanced, concise, and well worth reading.

In dealing with American superior military might, the Chinese are not seeking to spend that much money, like the USSR tried to do. Instead they only focus on the weakest parts of the American military might and then concentrate on being the best at that part. This is far more economical and provides a situation where the Americans, to 'keep up', have to re-invest billions in their weakest links all the time. This is a 'non-parallel' way of dealing with immense abiding hegemonic threat.

At the same time China is getting much better at shooting down satellites than the Americans like; so even though the US is stretched economically, they must now invest in better and far more expensive sentinels in space....always understanding that no one in their right mind would go to war with China. This is the problem within contemporary US aggression patterns since being hauled over the coals by Vietnam. Ever since that lesson, the US only go to war with countries that have been weakened enough so that they cant fight back. China is strong and getting much stronger and they can fight back.

The USA in Asia

You can see the simple patterning of American Hegemony in Asia pretty clearly.


In terms of Taiwan: If Taiwan were to either become an Independent State or Reunified with the Mainland, for America the result would be exactly the same: They would have no reason to be there; thus they must continue to inspire fear and a great degree of hatred, and supply weapons.

In Terms of South Korea: If South Korea wished to reunify with the North (and many South Koreans do) it would be America who would lose out on having power over the South. So, the North must be continually provoked and told what to do not only by America but by the lap-dog community that is attached to the US. North Korea has a bad 'royal' government, for sure, but so does Saudi Arabia, Jordan and any number of American friends.

In terms of Japan: The recent Japanese PM came to power, by popular vote, promising to remove the US military bases from Okinawa. The result? He had to resign in dishonour simply because the Japanese government doesn't have the power to do that in its own democratic country. In the wake of his resignation, the Japanese have become instantly terrified of China as a direct result of US influence within Japan.

This is the operational matrix of US of America as a dark, abiding,hegemonic entity. Its meaning in Asia, and its economic profit, can only be sustained through the generation of fear, hatred and instability. This is who they are and this is what the US represents.

The rise of an assertive and empowered China represents a long necessary balance and a different and more peaceful future.







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Sunday, 9 January 2011

Looks Like A Chinese Stealth Fighter on the ground in Chengdu Sichuan (from Al Jazeera)

US to respond to Chinese advances - Asia-Pacific - Al Jazeera English

US to respond to Chinese advances - Asia-Pacific - Al Jazeera English

From CNN : Smoking in China

Beijing (CNN) -- When I first came to China 39 years ago, airlines distributed cigarettes free of charge during flights. Hotel rooms were invariably furnished with free packs of cigarettes. At meetings and conferences, filter-tipped cigarettes were standard features on the podium alongside writing pads, pencils and ashtrays. Non-smoking cars were unheard of on trains.

Today, smoking remains a stubborn habit because it is an integral part of Chinese social life. Offering a cigarette is a common way to greet someone, a handy ice-breaker especially in awkward situations (I myself used to do that until I quit smoking 30 years ago).
More than 300 million people in China are regular smokers, most of them men, according to the Global Adult Tobacco Survey conducted in 2009-2010. Increasingly, large numbers of women and teenagers have also taken up the habit.

The survey, jointly conducted by the China Center for Disease Control, the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the World Health Organization, shows that seven out of 10 adults reported being exposed to secondhand smoke in a typical week.
Smoking is estimated to kill more than one million Chinese a year. They die from chronic respiratory ailments like tuberculosis and emphysema, and from cancers affecting the lungs, mouth, liver and stomach.

Another report by Chinese and international experts led by China CDC deputy director Yang Gonghuan and Tsinghua professor Hu Angang projects that the deaths attributable to tobacco in China will rise to 3.5 million per year by 2030.

"That is an astounding number given that we know how to prevent tobacco-attributable death and disease," says Dr. Sarah England, the World Health Organization's (WHO) Tobacco Free Initiative Officer in China.

Campaigning against tobacco use has always been an uphill battle.

A smoke after a meal is still customary, as indicated in the popular saying, "a smoke after dinner is better than life after death." Cigarettes are favored gifts to get things done or expedited.

Chain-smoking national leaders may have given smoking undeserved respectability. Chairman Mao was a heavy smoker, though he died at age 82. Deng Xiaoping, who preferred Panda cigarettes, died at 92.

Because many Chinese celebrities -- artists and athletes -- smoke in public, some Chinese associate wealth and sophistication with puffing a cigarette.

Tobacco is big business in China. Companies produce and sell more than 400 cigarette brands in the country, ranging from the high-end Zhonghua and Double Happiness to cheaper brands like Little Panda and Yellow Pagoda.

The tobacco industry has been so profitable it was able to pay the government $75.13 billion in taxes in 2009, said Zhang Xiulian, spokesman of the State Tobacco Monopoly Bureau.

Unlike some other countries, China does not require cigarette packaging to carry any warning about health hazards. "The tobacco industry's obstruction is the fundamental cause of ineffective tobacco control," says the report coauthored by Yang and Hu.
In recent years, the Chinese government has banned tobacco companies from public advertising and from sponsoring sports and cultural events. It has also launched education campaigns in schools and in local media.

Five years ago this week, China officially became a party to the World Health Organization's Framework Convention Tobacco Control. So far, China's scorecard is poor.

"There is still a huge gap between the existing domestic laws and regulations and the FCTC's requirements, and the implementation and enforcement of existing laws are poor and ineffective," says the report by Yang and Hu.

"Numerous public misconceptions remain about the health hazards of smoking and secondhand smoke. Mainstream society considers smoking an accepted behavior and smoking remains popular."

The Chinese government has recently decreed a ban on smoking in all public places, workplaces and on public transportation.

However, the All-China Women's Federation appears unimpressed.

"The government has not taken enough measures to restrict smoking in public areas. It is not just a question of weak regulations but also weak implementation," says a statement from the federation, a quasi-government group that lobbies for women's rights and has 40 million members.

In fact, the ban on smoking in restaurants, pubs, coffee shops and karaoke bars has largely been ignored. The government is said to have deployed 100,000 inspectors nationwide to enforce the ban, but the fines (about $1.40 per offense) are too low to make a difference.

"I come home from bars smelling like smoke," says Feliz Lopez, a non-smoking 20-year-old college student visiting from New York. "Restaurants and bars assume patrons smoke so there are ashtrays on tables, and there is no distinction between smoking and non-smoking sections."

Experts acknowledge it is hard to curb tobacco use. But England is certain China can do it.

"We have seen both developed and developing countries from New Zealand to Uruguay implement highly effective tobacco control plans, bring down the smoking rates and save lives," she says. "With political will, it is entirely feasible to stop the tobacco epidemic in China through interventions."

Has Wikileaks Cost Lives? Has US Actions Cost Lives?

I note that the US Government is seeking to use force Twitter to provide lots of information on lots of people who have been in contact with Wikileaks...
The US Government asks: Has Wikileaks cost lives? Such an interesting question for a Government to ask when it continues to imprison, torture and kill innocent people beyond the dreams of any islamist-christian fundamentalist madman.
USA: "We must be vigilant in protecting ourselves from any responsibility in what we do. Truth is not our Truth."

Saturday, 8 January 2011

Understanding Australia


I think that one of the things I found hard to understand, returning to Australia from Asia is this: So much of Asia is preparing for and dealing with huge populations and diverse economies but Australia isn't; and it won't need to.
There is enough stuff to dig up, export, basic unimproved minerals etc, for decades to come. The problems here more relate to an ageing basically homogenous population and, as always, the huge costs of the distances between cities/settlements. No great problems, no great challenges, no great pressure to innovate or pursue a new definition; no population pressures, not much suffering...and it won't change. It's understandable.
I was surprised, upon returning here, how many old people there were...people my age and older, compared to anywhere in Asia...and how many very large, fat people; but this is what happens in all First World countries I think. Mildly overweight people generally live longer than slim people anyway.
It's an uncrowded country and no one here much wants that to change. There is great anger whenever anyone suggests Australia should have a larger population now or in 30 years time, and there is the usual xenophobia about Asians and Arabs in particular. This great fear; as always unfounded, yet persistent now for more than 150 years does not vary. I think it's because Australia doesn't have any neighbours on the border...there is just the ocean. The Ocean Continent...so there has never been any need to interact much with anyone, or to solve problems...because there have been no problems with the ocean.
You can see the same kind of Mentality with the UK...and also with the USA who only have Canada and Mexico to have 'issues' with. None of these cultures know much about resolving problems with neighbours, per se.
It may well be a defining thing about UK and USA culture...the absence of negotiation in so many areas over so many  hundreds of years, so there is no particular skill development; thus in its absence is an odd chimera of 'Independence' and what is defined 'Freedom'...not by any struggle, innovation and effort but just conferred by geographical reality.
It can't be a criticism, and it's not. At the same time a city like Sydney has just about the most ethnically diverse 4-million-people-urban population on earth, and all or most doing reasonably well.