War and Peace

War and Peace

Whatever side we are on, when it comes to Russia and the Ukraine, it really doesn't matter. The economics of the world are not permanently changed by the conflict, but rather all the economies related to Europe will suffer a lot, by the sanctions regarding Russian Oil and Gas, and I expect that will go on for the next decade...thus a deep world recession. Lots of crashing European governments, for sure. Look at France now.

But not any great or big war.

The only place a World War could happen would be in the Korean Peninsula...with North Korea the most expensive piece of land on earth. North Korea has the Position, Position, Position every real estate agent dreams of.

It butts onto South Korea, China, and Russia....is close to Japan...and between those combined economies rests the world economy itself...and North Korea does have massive natural wealth and huge totally untapped natural resources, and it has enormous military power, and it has a very disciplined and highly tech-educated, and obedient, population.

In any conflict by the USA, the first army to arrive in PyongYang would be China's Red Army, then Russia's Army, then the American Army, and what a great stand-off between the Powers that would be! But it won't happen. North Korea is far too important to all the world.

Its a war none of them could win, except China, really. Yet it is the only place on earth that a conflict that fundamentally involved all of us, everywhere, could possibly happen. It is the one Geo-Political 'moving tectonic plate' in our whole world.

I know North Korea is the worst Government on Earth, and then comes our friends, Saudi Arabia, for sure, and the Middle East, well, its not what it used to be in terms of being greatly important anymore, but North Korea has got it all... but...as long as the status quo remains the status quo, we are all saved from a World War by the continuity of the bizarre Kim regime, in a way. That regime, unfortunately for the North Korean folk, has all the hallmarks of lasting a very, very long time, indeed. Longer than any of us alive will be alive.

Still, peace is, indeed, peace...and we have it now...so don't worry so much, especially about China. China does not make war. We and our friends make war. China has learned how not to. We haven't.

That China knows how to do well and not make war is not a failing of theirs, its a triumph of the human spirit and brilliant planning over a horrible history of ours.